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Appendix A

Risk Communication, Risk Statistics,
and Risk Comparisons:
A Manual for Plant Managers

by Vincent T. Covello, Peter M. Sandman, and Paul Slovic

(Washington, DC: Chemical Manufacturers Association, 1988), pp. 34–37

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Appendix A: Concentration and Quantity Comparisons

WARNING NOTES ON TABLES:

1. The data in the tables are designed to stress how small small really is. By minimizing magnitude, the comparisons tend to minimize risk.

2. When the data in the tables are used by those with an obvious interest in minimizing risk, they often lack credibility. They are also likely to provoke the same sort of backlash provoked by self-serving risk comparisons.

3. The data often lack relevance and meaning unless coupled with data on the toxic potency of a particular chemical.

4. Efforts to minimize small quantities through the comparisons given in the tables may backfire by making the quantity easier to visualize. While an image such as "a drop of vermouth in 500 barrels of gin" may be intended to convey smallness, for some in the audience it serves as an easily visualized and memorable metaphor.

 

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Table A1. Concentration Comparisons
Organized by Unit Categories


Unit1 Part per million1 Part per billion1 Part per trillion

Length1 in./16 mi. 1 in./16,000 mi.1 in./16,000,000 mi.
(a 6-in. leap on a journey to the sun)
Time 1 min./2 years1 sec./32 years1 sec./320 centuries
(or 0.06 sec. since the birth of Jesus Christ)
Money1 cent/$10,0001 cent/$10,000,0001 cent /$10,000,000,000
Weight 1 oz./31 tons 1 pinch salt/
10 tons of potato chips
1 pinch salt/
10,000 tons of potato chips
Volume1 drop vermouth/
80 "fifths" of gin
1 drop vermouth/
500 barrels of gin
1 drop of vermouth in a pool of gin
covering the area of a football field 43 ft. deep
Area 1 square ft./23 acres1 square in./
160-acre farm
1 square ft./the state of Indiana; or 1 large
grain of sand on the surface of Daytona Beach
Action1 lob/1,200
tennis matches
1 lob/1,200,000
tennis matches
1 lob/1,200,000,000 tennis matches
Quality1 bad apple/
2,000 barrels
1 bad apple/
2,000,000 barrels
1 bad apple/2,000,000,000 barrels

Source: Adapted from Warren B. Crumeu, Dow Chemical Company (as reproduced in Rowe, W.D. et al., 1984, Evaluation Methods for Environmental Standards. CRC Press Inc., Boca Raton, Florida.

Warning! Use of data in this table for risk comparison purposes
can damage your credibility (see text).

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Table A.2: Miscellaneous Concentration Comparisons

Parts per million:

Parts per billion:

Parts per trillion:

Parts per quadrillion:

Source: Adapted from data supplied by Jim Callaghan, Hill and Knowlton, Inc., as reproduced in P. Sandman, D. Sachsman, and M. Greenberg, 1987, Risk Communication for Environmental News Sources. Industry/University Cooperative Center for Research in Hazardous and Toxic Substances: New Brunswick, New Jersey.

Warning! Use of data in this table for risk comparison purposes
can damage your credibility (see text).

 

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Figure A.1: Air Emissions From Chemical Production:
Tons per Year Projected through 1988 for
the Dow Chemical Company, Midland Division

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Image not available

Source: Adapted from Midland Daily News, June 5, 1987.

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Next Section

   ball   Introduction and Index
   ball   I . Effectively Communicating Risk Information
   ball   II. Guidelines for Presenting and Explaining Risk-Related Numbers and Statistics
   ball   III. Guidelines for Providing and Explaining Risk Comparisons
   ball   IV. Concrete Examples of Risk Comparisons
   ball   V. Anticipating Objections to Explanations of Chemical Risks
   ball   Conclusion
   ball   Acknowledgements
   ball   Appendix A: Concentration and Quantity Comparisons
   ball   Appendix B: Risk Comparison Tables And Figures
   ball   Appendix C: Risk Perception Factors
   ball   Selected Bibiliography on Risk Communication

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Peter M. Sandman
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